Skip to content Skip to sidebar Skip to footer

  • Bitcoin price is diving and it recently broke the $8,000 support area against the US Dollar.
  • The price is under a lot of pressure and recently traded to a new monthly low at $7,828.
  • Morning’s bearish flag pattern was breached with support near $8,080 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken).
  • The next key target for the bears could be $7,400 (as discussed in the recent medium term outlook).

Bitcoin price is gaining bearish momentum below $8,000 against the US Dollar. More importantly, there is now very less chances of BTC recovering above $8,250 before testing $7,400.

Bitcoin Price Analysis

In morning, we discussed the chances of a breakdown in bitcoin below the $8,000 support area against the US Dollar. BTC made an attempt correct above the $8,150 resistance, but it failed to gain traction and remained well below the 100 hourly simple moving average.

As a result, there was another bearish break below the $8,050 support. Moreover, morning’s bearish flag pattern was breached with support near $8,080 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair.

Finally, the price declined below the $8,000 support and the last swing low. A new monthly low was formed near $7,828 and the price is currently correcting higher.

An immediate resistance for bitcoin is near the $7,920 level. It represents the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the $8,221 high to $7,828 low. The first key resistance on the upside is near the $8,000 level (the recent breakdown support).

Additionally, the 50% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the $8,221 high to $7,828 low is near the $8,020 level to prevent gains. Lastly, there is a new connecting bearish trend line forming with resistance near $8,020 on the same chart.

Therefore, the price is likely to face a strong resistance if it corrects higher towards $8,000 and $8,020. A convincing break above the $8,020 resistance may perhaps lift the price towards the $8,200 resistance.

On the downside, it seems like the gates for a test of the $7,400 support is now open (the next bearish target as discussed in the recent medium term outlook).

Bitcoin Price

Bitcoin PriceLooking at the chart, bitcoin price is clearly gaining bearish momentum below the $8,000 support area. There are high chances of additional losses towards the $7,400 support unless the price rallies above $8,020 and $8,200 in the near term.

Technical indicators:

Hourly MACD – The MACD is gaining pace in the bearish zone.

Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is currently recovering from the oversold levels.

Major Support Levels – $7,640 followed by $7,400.

Major Resistance Levels – $8,000, $8,020 and $8,200.

Aayush Jindal , 2019-11-21 13:12:17

Source link

Leave a comment

NewsBlock © 2019 - 2020 All rights reserved.

NewsBlock © 2019 - 2020. All rights reserved.

While Bitcoin’s price seemingly moves without rhyme or reason — collapsing by dozens of percent and embarking on face-melting rallies on a whim — the cryptocurrency market is filled to the brim with fractals.

Related Reading: Analyst: Bitcoin Price Likely to Fall to Low-$8,000s as Chart Remains Weak

A brief aside: A fractal, in the context of technical analysis and financial markets anyway, is when an asset’s price action is seen during a different time. This form of analysis isn’t that popular, but it has proven to be somewhat valuable in analyzing Bitcoin.

One recent fractal popularized by a well-known cryptocurrency trader is implying that BTC is going to return to the low-$7,000s in the coming days.

Bitcoin Fractal Implies Retracement to Low-$7,000s

A well-known crypto trader going by “Tyler Durden” on Twitter recently posted the chart below, which shows that a Bitcoin price fractal may be playing out. The fractal has four phases: horizontal consolidation marked by one fakeout, a surge above the consolidation phase, a distribution, then a strong drop to fresh lows.

If the fractal plays out in full, BTC could reach the low-$7,000s again, potentially as low as $7,100. This would represent a 20-odd percent collapse from the current price point of $8,800.

It isn’t only a fractal that is hinting Bitcoin has the potential to visit its lows. As we reported on Saturday, Bloomberg believes that if the GTI Vera Convergence Divergence Indicator flips red, a downtrend could push the cryptocurrency back to $7,300.

Related Reading: Stephen Colbert Pokes Fun at Bitcoin in Monologue: Mainstream Gone Wrong?

Can Bulls Step In?

But again, many believe it is irrational to have such bearish interpretations of the cryptocurrency’s chart at the moment. As reported by NewsBTC earlier, Popular crypto trader Mayne recently noted that the “people waiting for $6,000” are irrational. He quipped that Bitcoin retracing and consolidating after its fourth-biggest bull move in history ($7,300 to $10,500, a 42% gain) is perfectly par for the course, but noted that it’s totally possible we can go lower from $8,800.

The medium-term technicals support this.

Trader and CoinTelegraph contributor FilbFilb found that by the end of November or start of December, the 50-week and 100-week moving averages will see a “golden cross,” which he claims is far more significant” for the Bitcoin market that other technical crosses.

Also, a Bitcoin price model created using Facebook Prophet machine learning found that the leading cryptocurrency is likely to end the year at just over $12,000. What’s notable about this model is that it called the price drop to $8,000 months in advance, and forecasted a ~$7,500 price bottom for BTC.

To put a cherry on the cryptocurrency cake, Crypto Thies observed that when Bitcoin bottomed at $7,300, it bounced decisively off the 0.618 Fibonacci Retracement of the move from $3,000 to $14,000, which correlates with the two-week volume-weighted moving average. He added that summer 2019’s consolidation was marked by Bitcoin flipping major resistances into support levels, implying that a bullish reversal and subsequent continuation is likely possible in the coming weeks.

Featured Image from Shutterstock

Nick Chong , 2019-11-10 12:00:38

Source link