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Bitcoin (BTC) Relatively Muted, Signs of Further Weakness

  • Bitcoin price is facing a strong resistance near the $7,400 and $7,460 levels against the US Dollar.
  • The price is approaching the key $7,200 and $7,160 support levels.
  • There is a short term declining channel forming with resistance near $7,380 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken).
  • The pair could recover above $7,400 as long as there is no daily close below $7,200.

Bitcoin price is currently confined in a range below $7,400 against the US Dollar. BTC must stay above $7,200 and $7,000 to start a decent recovery.

Bitcoin Price Analysis

Recently, we saw a downside break in bitcoin below the $7,400 support against the US Dollar. Moreover, BTC price settled below the $7,400 pivot and the 100 hourly simple moving average.

Finally, the price traded to a new weekly low at $7,159 and it is currently correcting higher. The recent high was near $7,410 and it seems like the price is struggling to gain strength above the $7,410 resistance.

Bitcoin is currently declining and trading below $7,400. Besides, there was a break below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the recent corrective wave from the $7,159 low to $7,410 high.

An immediate support on the downside is near the $7,285 level. Additionally, the 50% Fib retracement level of the recent corrective wave from the $7,159 low to $7,410 high is near the $7,285 level.

If there is a downside push below the $7,285 and $7,255 levels, the price is likely to retest the $7,200 support area. More importantly, if there is a daily close below the $7,200 support area, the price may perhaps struggle to even stay above the $7,000 support.

On the upside, there are many hurdles waiting near the $7,400 and $7,460 levels. Besides, there is a short term declining channel forming with resistance near $7,380 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair.

Therefore, a clear break above the channel resistance and $7,460 is needed for a decent recovery wave. Once the price settles above $7,460 and the 100 hourly simple moving average, the bulls are likely to aim the $7,630 resistance area.

Looking at the chart, bitcoin price is currently declining and trading below the $7,300 level. It seems like the price could retest the $7,200 support area before it could make an attempt to climb above $7,400 and $7,460 in the near term.

Technical indicators:

Hourly MACD – The MACD is likely to move into the bearish zone.

Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is currently declining and it now well below the 50 level.

Major Support Levels – $7,200 followed by $7,000.

Major Resistance Levels – $7,400, $7,460 and $7,630.

The post Bitcoin (BTC) Relatively Muted, Signs of Further Weakness appeared first on NewsBTC.

NewsBTC , 2019-12-03 08:00:18 ,

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NewsBlock © 2019 - 2020 All rights reserved.

NewsBlock © 2019 - 2020. All rights reserved.

While Bitcoin’s price seemingly moves without rhyme or reason — collapsing by dozens of percent and embarking on face-melting rallies on a whim — the cryptocurrency market is filled to the brim with fractals.

Related Reading: Analyst: Bitcoin Price Likely to Fall to Low-$8,000s as Chart Remains Weak

A brief aside: A fractal, in the context of technical analysis and financial markets anyway, is when an asset’s price action is seen during a different time. This form of analysis isn’t that popular, but it has proven to be somewhat valuable in analyzing Bitcoin.

One recent fractal popularized by a well-known cryptocurrency trader is implying that BTC is going to return to the low-$7,000s in the coming days.

Bitcoin Fractal Implies Retracement to Low-$7,000s

A well-known crypto trader going by “Tyler Durden” on Twitter recently posted the chart below, which shows that a Bitcoin price fractal may be playing out. The fractal has four phases: horizontal consolidation marked by one fakeout, a surge above the consolidation phase, a distribution, then a strong drop to fresh lows.

If the fractal plays out in full, BTC could reach the low-$7,000s again, potentially as low as $7,100. This would represent a 20-odd percent collapse from the current price point of $8,800.

It isn’t only a fractal that is hinting Bitcoin has the potential to visit its lows. As we reported on Saturday, Bloomberg believes that if the GTI Vera Convergence Divergence Indicator flips red, a downtrend could push the cryptocurrency back to $7,300.

Related Reading: Stephen Colbert Pokes Fun at Bitcoin in Monologue: Mainstream Gone Wrong?

Can Bulls Step In?

But again, many believe it is irrational to have such bearish interpretations of the cryptocurrency’s chart at the moment. As reported by NewsBTC earlier, Popular crypto trader Mayne recently noted that the “people waiting for $6,000” are irrational. He quipped that Bitcoin retracing and consolidating after its fourth-biggest bull move in history ($7,300 to $10,500, a 42% gain) is perfectly par for the course, but noted that it’s totally possible we can go lower from $8,800.

The medium-term technicals support this.

Trader and CoinTelegraph contributor FilbFilb found that by the end of November or start of December, the 50-week and 100-week moving averages will see a “golden cross,” which he claims is far more significant” for the Bitcoin market that other technical crosses.

Also, a Bitcoin price model created using Facebook Prophet machine learning found that the leading cryptocurrency is likely to end the year at just over $12,000. What’s notable about this model is that it called the price drop to $8,000 months in advance, and forecasted a ~$7,500 price bottom for BTC.

To put a cherry on the cryptocurrency cake, Crypto Thies observed that when Bitcoin bottomed at $7,300, it bounced decisively off the 0.618 Fibonacci Retracement of the move from $3,000 to $14,000, which correlates with the two-week volume-weighted moving average. He added that summer 2019’s consolidation was marked by Bitcoin flipping major resistances into support levels, implying that a bullish reversal and subsequent continuation is likely possible in the coming weeks.

Featured Image from Shutterstock

Nick Chong , 2019-11-10 12:00:38

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