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Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: BTC Price Turned Sell On Rallies

  • After settling below $9,000, bitcoin declined steadily against the US Dollar.
  • The price is under a lot of pressure below the $8,700 and $8,650 resistance levels.
  • There is a crucial bearish trend line forming with resistance near $8,630 on the 4-hours chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken).
  • The price could correct higher, but it is likely to face sellers near the $8,700 resistance area.

Bitcoin price is trading in a bearish zone towards $8,200 against the US Dollar. BTC remains sell on rallies unless there is a successful close above the $8,880 resistance.

Bitcoin Price Weekly Analysis (BTC)

This past week, bitcoin saw an increase in selling pressure below the $8,880 support area against the US Dollar. Moreover, BTC price settled below the $8,700 pivot level and the 100 simple moving average (4-hours).

There were steady losses and the price broke the $8,600 and $8,500 support levels. A new monthly low is formed near $8,382 and the price is clearly trading in a bearish zone.

It is currently consolidating losses above the $8,400 level. Besides, bitcoin is trading near the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the $8,777 high to $8,382 low.

On the upside, there are many resistances near $8,580 and $8,600. There is also a declining channel forming with resistance near $8,580 on the 4-hours chart of the BTC/USD pair. Additionally, the 50% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the $8,777 high to $8,382 low is also near the $8,580 level.

If there is an upside break above the channel resistance, the price could test the $8,620 and $8,630 resistance levels. More importantly, there is a crucial bearish trend line forming with resistance near $8,630 on the same chart.

To move into a positive zone, the price must break the $8,700 and $8,720 levels. Having said that, a proper close above the $8,880 resistance is needed for a trend change and a fresh increase.

On the downside, there are many key supports near the $8,320 and $8,200 levels. The bears are likely to face a strong buying interest near $8,200, below which there is a risk of a break down towards the $8,000 handle.

Looking at the chart, bitcoin price is following a bearish path, with key supports near $8,200. Therefore, there are chances of a short term upside correction towards the $8,600 and $8,700 levels. However, the upward move is likely to face sellers and gains could be capped by $8,880.

Technical indicators

4 hours MACD – The MACD for BTC/USD is slowly losing momentum in the bearish zone.

4 hours RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now recovering above the 30 level.

Major Support Level – $8,200

Major Resistance Level – $8,880

The post Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: BTC Price Turned Sell On Rallies appeared first on NewsBTC.

NewsBTC , 2019-11-17 05:08:54 ,

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NewsBlock © 2019 - 2020 All rights reserved.

NewsBlock © 2019 - 2020. All rights reserved.

While Bitcoin’s price seemingly moves without rhyme or reason — collapsing by dozens of percent and embarking on face-melting rallies on a whim — the cryptocurrency market is filled to the brim with fractals.

Related Reading: Analyst: Bitcoin Price Likely to Fall to Low-$8,000s as Chart Remains Weak

A brief aside: A fractal, in the context of technical analysis and financial markets anyway, is when an asset’s price action is seen during a different time. This form of analysis isn’t that popular, but it has proven to be somewhat valuable in analyzing Bitcoin.

One recent fractal popularized by a well-known cryptocurrency trader is implying that BTC is going to return to the low-$7,000s in the coming days.

Bitcoin Fractal Implies Retracement to Low-$7,000s

A well-known crypto trader going by “Tyler Durden” on Twitter recently posted the chart below, which shows that a Bitcoin price fractal may be playing out. The fractal has four phases: horizontal consolidation marked by one fakeout, a surge above the consolidation phase, a distribution, then a strong drop to fresh lows.

If the fractal plays out in full, BTC could reach the low-$7,000s again, potentially as low as $7,100. This would represent a 20-odd percent collapse from the current price point of $8,800.

It isn’t only a fractal that is hinting Bitcoin has the potential to visit its lows. As we reported on Saturday, Bloomberg believes that if the GTI Vera Convergence Divergence Indicator flips red, a downtrend could push the cryptocurrency back to $7,300.

Related Reading: Stephen Colbert Pokes Fun at Bitcoin in Monologue: Mainstream Gone Wrong?

Can Bulls Step In?

But again, many believe it is irrational to have such bearish interpretations of the cryptocurrency’s chart at the moment. As reported by NewsBTC earlier, Popular crypto trader Mayne recently noted that the “people waiting for $6,000” are irrational. He quipped that Bitcoin retracing and consolidating after its fourth-biggest bull move in history ($7,300 to $10,500, a 42% gain) is perfectly par for the course, but noted that it’s totally possible we can go lower from $8,800.

The medium-term technicals support this.

Trader and CoinTelegraph contributor FilbFilb found that by the end of November or start of December, the 50-week and 100-week moving averages will see a “golden cross,” which he claims is far more significant” for the Bitcoin market that other technical crosses.

Also, a Bitcoin price model created using Facebook Prophet machine learning found that the leading cryptocurrency is likely to end the year at just over $12,000. What’s notable about this model is that it called the price drop to $8,000 months in advance, and forecasted a ~$7,500 price bottom for BTC.

To put a cherry on the cryptocurrency cake, Crypto Thies observed that when Bitcoin bottomed at $7,300, it bounced decisively off the 0.618 Fibonacci Retracement of the move from $3,000 to $14,000, which correlates with the two-week volume-weighted moving average. He added that summer 2019’s consolidation was marked by Bitcoin flipping major resistances into support levels, implying that a bullish reversal and subsequent continuation is likely possible in the coming weeks.

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Nick Chong , 2019-11-10 12:00:38

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