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  • The analyst said that as the fall in the crypto market is continuing, crypto miners will be on the move to take profits.
  • The bitcoin price has been showing signs of a ‘rejection’ at the higher key resistance levels.

Some investors expect the dip to $6,600 last week to have been a bottom for the year but one analyst believes the bitcoin price could fall to as low as $2,020 in 2020.

Drop to Lows

The analyst said that as the fall in the crypto market is continuing, crypto miners will be on the move to take profits. Potential sell-offs of the leading cryptocurrency by miners – like we saw in December 2018 – could become the catalyst to an even harsher pullback.

Now though, over the past few days, the bitcoin price has been showing signs of a ‘rejection’ at the higher key resistance levels after its slight recovery from the $6k range.

The analyst in question, @icoexplorer, said this on Twitter:

Initially, when the BTC price began to see movement seat from the lower support levels, traders had their sights set on a breakout to at least the low $8k levels. BTC wasn’t able to maintain momentum above $7.5k though and started to move toward retesting $7k again.

The analyst went into say:

“The chart is showing the perception of value is in decline. If it continues and revisits the levels it had previously in 2018 I expect another downtrend, bitcoin is known for behaving unpredictably and many see the upcoming halving as a given excuse for a price increase to find the balance after production is cut in half. I think it makes more sense that the equilibrium is found with a reduction in speculative infrastructure.”

Robert Johnson , 2019-12-02 16:30:00 ,

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NewsBlock © 2019 - 2020 All rights reserved.

NewsBlock © 2019 - 2020. All rights reserved.

While Bitcoin’s price seemingly moves without rhyme or reason — collapsing by dozens of percent and embarking on face-melting rallies on a whim — the cryptocurrency market is filled to the brim with fractals.

Related Reading: Analyst: Bitcoin Price Likely to Fall to Low-$8,000s as Chart Remains Weak

A brief aside: A fractal, in the context of technical analysis and financial markets anyway, is when an asset’s price action is seen during a different time. This form of analysis isn’t that popular, but it has proven to be somewhat valuable in analyzing Bitcoin.

One recent fractal popularized by a well-known cryptocurrency trader is implying that BTC is going to return to the low-$7,000s in the coming days.

Bitcoin Fractal Implies Retracement to Low-$7,000s

A well-known crypto trader going by “Tyler Durden” on Twitter recently posted the chart below, which shows that a Bitcoin price fractal may be playing out. The fractal has four phases: horizontal consolidation marked by one fakeout, a surge above the consolidation phase, a distribution, then a strong drop to fresh lows.

If the fractal plays out in full, BTC could reach the low-$7,000s again, potentially as low as $7,100. This would represent a 20-odd percent collapse from the current price point of $8,800.

It isn’t only a fractal that is hinting Bitcoin has the potential to visit its lows. As we reported on Saturday, Bloomberg believes that if the GTI Vera Convergence Divergence Indicator flips red, a downtrend could push the cryptocurrency back to $7,300.

Related Reading: Stephen Colbert Pokes Fun at Bitcoin in Monologue: Mainstream Gone Wrong?

Can Bulls Step In?

But again, many believe it is irrational to have such bearish interpretations of the cryptocurrency’s chart at the moment. As reported by NewsBTC earlier, Popular crypto trader Mayne recently noted that the “people waiting for $6,000” are irrational. He quipped that Bitcoin retracing and consolidating after its fourth-biggest bull move in history ($7,300 to $10,500, a 42% gain) is perfectly par for the course, but noted that it’s totally possible we can go lower from $8,800.

The medium-term technicals support this.

Trader and CoinTelegraph contributor FilbFilb found that by the end of November or start of December, the 50-week and 100-week moving averages will see a “golden cross,” which he claims is far more significant” for the Bitcoin market that other technical crosses.

Also, a Bitcoin price model created using Facebook Prophet machine learning found that the leading cryptocurrency is likely to end the year at just over $12,000. What’s notable about this model is that it called the price drop to $8,000 months in advance, and forecasted a ~$7,500 price bottom for BTC.

To put a cherry on the cryptocurrency cake, Crypto Thies observed that when Bitcoin bottomed at $7,300, it bounced decisively off the 0.618 Fibonacci Retracement of the move from $3,000 to $14,000, which correlates with the two-week volume-weighted moving average. He added that summer 2019’s consolidation was marked by Bitcoin flipping major resistances into support levels, implying that a bullish reversal and subsequent continuation is likely possible in the coming weeks.

Featured Image from Shutterstock

Nick Chong , 2019-11-10 12:00:38

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