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The crypto market has been struggling for nearly two full years now to return to all-time high peak prices set back at the height of the crypto bull run, when Bitcoin reached $20,000 and became a household name and altcoins like Ethereum made investors filthy rich.

During that time, Ethereum exploded to over $1,400 per ETH as demand for the asset fueled by the ICO boom caused its value to skyrocket. However, one crypto analyst says that Ethereum price won’t ever come close to the $1,000 mark ever again, even if Bitcoin some day reaches prices of $50,000 or more per BTC.

The Rise and Fall of Ethereum

Crypto assets, like any financial assets, are driven by market dynamics such as supply and demand. With scarce assets like Bitcoin that have low, hard-capped supplies, when demand rises, prices can grow quickly.

Related Reading | List of Crypto All-Time High Prices Shows How Far Market Must Recover

Such was exactly the case during the 2017 crypto bull run, which took the mainstream public by storm and the price of Bitcoin to its all-time high of $20,000.

The public media attention on Bitcoin not only caused demand for the asset to skyrocket, but the price of the asset also followed. And as news of young investors turned millionaires made the airwaves, retail investors sought out to find the next Bitcoin in hopes of striking it rich.

This led to the initial coin offering boom, where new assets were launched regularly as the next big thing. These ICOs were often built on the Ethereum protocol as ERC-20 tokens, and investors bought up ETH to exchange for the shiny new altcoins tokens offering promise and hype.

But once that ICO boom fizzled out and the crypto hype bubble popped, investors were left holding Ethereum that had little use or utility, and the price of Ethereum collapsed from $1,400 to as low as $80.

ETH To Never Return To Near Or Above $1,000

Because there is little demand for Ethereum, one crypto analyst believes that Ethereum will never again reach prices near or above $1,000 per ETH, even if Bitcoin reaches $50,000 per BTC.

Bitcoin and other altcoins are still down significantly from their all-time highs, however, most altcoins are down 80% or more, and have also lost significant value in their BTC ratios.

Related Reading | Short Of The Century: $15 Ethereum Possible If Monthly Fails To Close Bullish

It’s not just Ethereum, either. Many altcoins outside of the top ten cryptocurrencies by market cap are down as much as 99% from their all-time high prices – prices that are likely never to be seen again.

Unless there is another sudden rise in demand for Ethereum, the analyst’s prediction could very well come true. However, with crypto so young of a technology, anything is possible, and proper use cases and utility could be on the way.


Tony Spilotro , 2019-11-26 19:00:08

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NewsBlock © 2019 - 2020 All rights reserved.

NewsBlock © 2019 - 2020. All rights reserved.


While Bitcoin’s price seemingly moves without rhyme or reason — collapsing by dozens of percent and embarking on face-melting rallies on a whim — the cryptocurrency market is filled to the brim with fractals.

Related Reading: Analyst: Bitcoin Price Likely to Fall to Low-$8,000s as Chart Remains Weak

A brief aside: A fractal, in the context of technical analysis and financial markets anyway, is when an asset’s price action is seen during a different time. This form of analysis isn’t that popular, but it has proven to be somewhat valuable in analyzing Bitcoin.

One recent fractal popularized by a well-known cryptocurrency trader is implying that BTC is going to return to the low-$7,000s in the coming days.

Bitcoin Fractal Implies Retracement to Low-$7,000s

A well-known crypto trader going by “Tyler Durden” on Twitter recently posted the chart below, which shows that a Bitcoin price fractal may be playing out. The fractal has four phases: horizontal consolidation marked by one fakeout, a surge above the consolidation phase, a distribution, then a strong drop to fresh lows.

If the fractal plays out in full, BTC could reach the low-$7,000s again, potentially as low as $7,100. This would represent a 20-odd percent collapse from the current price point of $8,800.

It isn’t only a fractal that is hinting Bitcoin has the potential to visit its lows. As we reported on Saturday, Bloomberg believes that if the GTI Vera Convergence Divergence Indicator flips red, a downtrend could push the cryptocurrency back to $7,300.

Related Reading: Stephen Colbert Pokes Fun at Bitcoin in Monologue: Mainstream Gone Wrong?

Can Bulls Step In?

But again, many believe it is irrational to have such bearish interpretations of the cryptocurrency’s chart at the moment. As reported by NewsBTC earlier, Popular crypto trader Mayne recently noted that the “people waiting for $6,000” are irrational. He quipped that Bitcoin retracing and consolidating after its fourth-biggest bull move in history ($7,300 to $10,500, a 42% gain) is perfectly par for the course, but noted that it’s totally possible we can go lower from $8,800.

The medium-term technicals support this.

Trader and CoinTelegraph contributor FilbFilb found that by the end of November or start of December, the 50-week and 100-week moving averages will see a “golden cross,” which he claims is far more significant” for the Bitcoin market that other technical crosses.

Also, a Bitcoin price model created using Facebook Prophet machine learning found that the leading cryptocurrency is likely to end the year at just over $12,000. What’s notable about this model is that it called the price drop to $8,000 months in advance, and forecasted a ~$7,500 price bottom for BTC.

To put a cherry on the cryptocurrency cake, Crypto Thies observed that when Bitcoin bottomed at $7,300, it bounced decisively off the 0.618 Fibonacci Retracement of the move from $3,000 to $14,000, which correlates with the two-week volume-weighted moving average. He added that summer 2019’s consolidation was marked by Bitcoin flipping major resistances into support levels, implying that a bullish reversal and subsequent continuation is likely possible in the coming weeks.

Featured Image from Shutterstock


Nick Chong , 2019-11-10 12:00:38

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