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Bitcoin (BTC) has been firmly caught within the throes of immense volatility over the past several days and weeks, with its recent bout of sideways trading ultimately resulting in a massive movement that caused a maximum pain scenario for traders.

This volatility has come concurrently with “extreme fear” amongst investors, which may be a counter-trading signal that means a bullish shift in trend is imminent, and this may be perpetuated by a rise in volatility that is expected by analysts.

Bitcoin Dropped to $7,000 Before Bulls Propelled it to $7,800 

At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading up just under 3% at its current price of $7,520, which marks a notable climb from its daily lows of just over $7,000 that were set in the midst of a major sell-off experienced by the cryptocurrency yesterday.

This sell-off – which had led many analysts and investors to believe further downside was imminent – ultimately resulted in a strong bounce that led the cryptocurrency to post an incredibly strong movement up to highs of $7,800.

From this point, Bitcoin has retraced slightly to its current price levels, and its inability to sustain the bounce has called into question the long-term significance of this rally.

Hsaka, a popular cryptocurrency analyst on Twitter, explained in a recent tweet that he believes that the crypto markets, and Bitcoin in particular, will soon see a large increase volatility.

“$BTC: Stopped on 7800 swing shorts at 7300. Reshorted 7680. Think I’m done with swing trading for a while, seems like volatility is going to start ramping up again,” he explained.

Investors Expressing Extreme Fear, Which Could be a Bullish Sign

One factor that should be noted alongside the imminent volatility that is expected by analysts is that investors are currently expressing extreme fear, which has historically been a factor that is counter-traded by investors.

Mr. Anderson, another popular cryptocurrency analyst on Twitter, spoke about this in a recent tweet, telling his followers that this low market sentiment could actually be a bullish sign for Bitcoin.

“$BTC Fear & Greed: The Directional bias is/has been down & this area has clear risk. However, Extreme Fear combined w/ Funding showing a week worth of Shorts willing to pay a premium to short is a setup conducive for disciplined CounterTrend trades. Inexperienced should stay out,” he noted.

If bulls are able to sustain the upwards momentum that was sparked earlier today when BTC surged to $7,800, then the crypto may be poised for further near-term gains.

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Cole Petersen , 2019-12-04 23:00:12

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NewsBlock © 2019 - 2020 All rights reserved.

NewsBlock © 2019 - 2020. All rights reserved.

While Bitcoin’s price seemingly moves without rhyme or reason — collapsing by dozens of percent and embarking on face-melting rallies on a whim — the cryptocurrency market is filled to the brim with fractals.

Related Reading: Analyst: Bitcoin Price Likely to Fall to Low-$8,000s as Chart Remains Weak

A brief aside: A fractal, in the context of technical analysis and financial markets anyway, is when an asset’s price action is seen during a different time. This form of analysis isn’t that popular, but it has proven to be somewhat valuable in analyzing Bitcoin.

One recent fractal popularized by a well-known cryptocurrency trader is implying that BTC is going to return to the low-$7,000s in the coming days.

Bitcoin Fractal Implies Retracement to Low-$7,000s

A well-known crypto trader going by “Tyler Durden” on Twitter recently posted the chart below, which shows that a Bitcoin price fractal may be playing out. The fractal has four phases: horizontal consolidation marked by one fakeout, a surge above the consolidation phase, a distribution, then a strong drop to fresh lows.

If the fractal plays out in full, BTC could reach the low-$7,000s again, potentially as low as $7,100. This would represent a 20-odd percent collapse from the current price point of $8,800.

It isn’t only a fractal that is hinting Bitcoin has the potential to visit its lows. As we reported on Saturday, Bloomberg believes that if the GTI Vera Convergence Divergence Indicator flips red, a downtrend could push the cryptocurrency back to $7,300.

Related Reading: Stephen Colbert Pokes Fun at Bitcoin in Monologue: Mainstream Gone Wrong?

Can Bulls Step In?

But again, many believe it is irrational to have such bearish interpretations of the cryptocurrency’s chart at the moment. As reported by NewsBTC earlier, Popular crypto trader Mayne recently noted that the “people waiting for $6,000” are irrational. He quipped that Bitcoin retracing and consolidating after its fourth-biggest bull move in history ($7,300 to $10,500, a 42% gain) is perfectly par for the course, but noted that it’s totally possible we can go lower from $8,800.

The medium-term technicals support this.

Trader and CoinTelegraph contributor FilbFilb found that by the end of November or start of December, the 50-week and 100-week moving averages will see a “golden cross,” which he claims is far more significant” for the Bitcoin market that other technical crosses.

Also, a Bitcoin price model created using Facebook Prophet machine learning found that the leading cryptocurrency is likely to end the year at just over $12,000. What’s notable about this model is that it called the price drop to $8,000 months in advance, and forecasted a ~$7,500 price bottom for BTC.

To put a cherry on the cryptocurrency cake, Crypto Thies observed that when Bitcoin bottomed at $7,300, it bounced decisively off the 0.618 Fibonacci Retracement of the move from $3,000 to $14,000, which correlates with the two-week volume-weighted moving average. He added that summer 2019’s consolidation was marked by Bitcoin flipping major resistances into support levels, implying that a bullish reversal and subsequent continuation is likely possible in the coming weeks.

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Nick Chong , 2019-11-10 12:00:38

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